How To Predict The Best In Show Today Expert Tips And Key Indicators

Predicting the Best in Show at major dog competitions—such as the Westminster Kennel Club Dog Show or Crufts—is both an art and a science. While luck plays a role, seasoned enthusiasts and professional handlers rely on observable patterns, breed standards, and subtle cues to make informed predictions. Whether you're a spectator, bettor, or breeder, understanding the factors that influence judging decisions can dramatically improve your ability to anticipate the outcome. This guide breaks down the most reliable indicators and expert-backed strategies for forecasting the top dog of the day.

Understanding the Judging Criteria

The foundation of any accurate prediction lies in understanding what judges are looking for. The American Kennel Club (AKC) emphasizes adherence to the official breed standard—essentially a blueprint for each breed’s ideal appearance, movement, temperament, and structure. A dog doesn’t need to be flashy; it needs to exemplify its breed perfectly.

Judges evaluate dogs across several dimensions:

• Conformation: Proportion, balance, and structural correctness.
• Gait: Smooth, efficient movement without strain.
• Temperament: Confidence, attentiveness, and calmness under pressure.
• Coat and Condition: Proper grooming and presentation reflecting health and care.

A dog may have won multiple Best in Shows before, but if it’s off-form on a given day—tired, poorly groomed, or moving stiffly—it will likely be passed over.

“Best in Show isn’t about popularity. It’s about which dog best represents its breed standard at that moment.” — Dr. Margaret Hayes, AKC Judge Emeritus

Key Indicators That Predict Success

Certain signals consistently correlate with a win. Observant attendees track these markers throughout the event.

1. Group Winner Momentum

Dogs that win their group (e.g., Herding, Terrier, Toy) often carry strong momentum into Best in Show. However, not all groups are weighted equally in the final round. Historically, the Herding and Working groups produce more Best in Show winners than others, due to their size, presence, and dynamic movement.

2. Show Ring Experience

Veteran dogs with multiple high-profile wins tend to perform better under pressure. They’re accustomed to crowds, noise, and prolonged standing. Puppies or first-time qualifiers rarely win unless they’re exceptionally outstanding.

Tip: Focus on dogs with at least three prior Group Firsts or Best in Show placements—they understand the rhythm of top-tier competition.

3. Handler Consistency

A skilled handler can elevate a good dog into a winning presentation. Look for teams that have worked together for multiple seasons. Familiarity between handler and dog leads to seamless ring performances, precise gaiting, and confident stacking.

4. Grooming Precision

In breeds where coat condition is critical (e.g., Poodles, Afghan Hounds), immaculate grooming is non-negotiable. Judges notice even minor flaws—uneven clipping, dull coat, or matted fur. A well-groomed dog signals dedication and professionalism.

5. Movement Quality

During individual presentations, watch how each dog moves. The ideal gait is effortless, balanced, and covers ground efficiently. Dogs that appear bouncy, restricted, or uncoordinated lose points quickly, regardless of appearance when stacked.

Step-by-Step Guide to Making Your Prediction

Follow this sequence on show day to refine your forecast:

1. Review the Group Winners: Identify which seven dogs advanced from each group.
2. Check Recent Show History: Research each dog’s past performance in major events using databases like AKC.org or Canine Chronicle.
3. Evaluate Presentation: Observe how each dog carries itself during the final lineup—posture, alertness, tail carriage.
4. Assess Handler Technique: Watch for smooth transitions, proper baiting, and control during movement.
5. Compare Breed Standards: Mentally stack each dog against its official standard—does it match the ideal?
6. Maintain Objectivity: Avoid bias toward popular breeds; focus on conformation excellence.

Do’s and Don’ts When Predicting Best in Show

Do’s	Don’ts
Study the breed standard before the show	Assume the largest dog will win
Watch previous footage of the competing dogs	Ignore signs of fatigue or stress in the ring
Note consistency in grooming and handling	Bet heavily based on breed popularity alone
Attend preliminary group judging to spot trends	Overlook small breeds—Toy group winners do win occasionally

Real Example: Predicting the 2023 Westminster Winner

In 2023, a Miniature Poodle named Malachy’s Final Act took home Best in Show. Observers who predicted his win noted several key factors:

• He had already won Best in Show at two other major events that season.
• His coat was sculpted to perfection, with no loose hairs or uneven lines.
• The handler, a veteran with over 20 years of experience, guided him with precision.
• His gait was springy yet controlled, showcasing the breed’s signature “springy step.”

Despite being smaller than most competitors, his conformational correctness and flawless presentation set him apart. Those who focused on technical excellence rather than size correctly anticipated the outcome.

Expert Tips for Long-Term Accuracy

To build predictive skill over time, adopt these practices:

Tip: Keep a log of past Best in Show winners and analyze common traits—breed, age, handler, prior wins.

• Follow top handlers and breeders on social media to stay updated on rising stars.
• Subscribe to publications like The Dog News or Showsight Magazine for insider commentary.
• Attend local shows to observe how quality dogs move and present before reaching national stages.
• Learn the nuances of less-common breeds—sometimes an unusual breed wins due to exceptional representation.

“The best predictor of future success is consistent excellence across multiple venues—not just one dazzling performance.” — Carlos Mendez, Professional Handler & Breeder

Frequently Asked Questions

Can a mixed-breed dog ever win Best in Show?

No. Only purebred dogs recognized by the AKC and registered in the breed registry are eligible for Best in Show at official events like Westminster. Mixed breeds may compete in separate agility or obedience events but not in conformation rings.

Do small dogs have a real chance at winning?

Absolutely. While larger breeds often dominate due to visual impact, small dogs like Pomeranians, Shih Tzus, and Papillons have won when they demonstrate textbook conformation. In 2022, a Pekingese named Wasabi won Best in Show at Westminster, proving that size isn’t destiny.

How much does a dog’s personality affect the judge’s decision?

Significantly. A dog must be approachable, alert, and confident. Aggression, fearfulness, or excessive shyness results in immediate disqualification from consideration. Temperament is part of the breed standard and directly impacts overall impression.

Conclusion: Sharpen Your Eye, Trust the Data

Predicting the Best in Show is more than guessing—it’s about disciplined observation, knowledge of breed standards, and attention to detail. By tracking experienced handlers, studying movement, and respecting the fundamentals of conformation, you can develop a sharp eye for excellence. Whether you're attending in person or watching online, use these expert tips and key indicators to make smarter, more informed predictions.

🚀 Ready to test your skills? Pick your next Best in Show contender using these strategies—and share your prediction with fellow enthusiasts to start a conversation!